The New York Mets’ 2024 offseason strategy has focused on a mix of marquee acquisitions and strategic low-risk signings. While the pursuit of big-name free agents has grabbed headlines, it’s often the under-the-radar moves that make or break a season. One such signing was Griffin Canning, a pitcher with potential upside but a track record marred by inconsistency and injuries. As the Mets look to rebound after a disappointing 2023 campaign, some fans and analysts are questioning if there was a better option available in the free-agent market.
One name that stands out is veteran starter Michael Wacha. The former San Diego Padre had a stellar 2023 season, posting a 3.22 ERA and solidifying himself as a reliable mid-rotation arm. Despite his strong performance, Wacha remained surprisingly underappreciated in free agency, ultimately signing a modest deal elsewhere. For a team like the Mets, who are desperate for stability in their rotation, Wacha could have been the ideal addition.
The Case for Wacha
Wacha’s appeal lies in his consistency and experience. At 32 years old, he’s a veteran presence with a wealth of postseason experience, including a standout performance during the St. Louis Cardinals’ 2013 World Series run. Unlike Canning, who has struggled to maintain a steady workload due to injuries, Wacha has proven capable of eating innings while delivering quality starts. His ability to keep hitters off balance with a mix of changeups and fastballs could have complemented the Mets’ rotation, which is headlined by younger, harder-throwing arms.
Additionally, Wacha’s 2023 success wasn’t a fluke. Advanced metrics like FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) and WHIP (Walks and Hits Per Inning Pitched) suggest his performance was sustainable. His ability to limit hard contact and pitch effectively in high-leverage situations would have been a valuable asset for a Mets team looking to bolster its chances in close games.
Why Canning Was the Wrong Choice
Griffin Canning’s signing raised eyebrows for several reasons. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, his career has been plagued by inconsistency and time spent on the injured list. His 2023 campaign was decent, but his 4.50 ERA and a history of shoulder issues make him a gamble. For a Mets team aiming to compete in a highly competitive NL East, the risk associated with Canning outweighs the potential reward.
Furthermore, Canning’s signing comes across as a move prioritizing upside over reliability. While it’s important to take calculated risks, the Mets’ rotation already has its share of question marks. With Kodai Senga adjusting to MLB’s grueling schedule, Justin Verlander in the twilight of his career, and younger pitchers like Tylor Megill and David Peterson still developing, the Mets needed a dependable arm more than a wild card.
The Fallout
The decision to pass on Wacha could come back to haunt the Mets. As Wacha continues to excel elsewhere, Mets fans may find themselves wondering what could have been. While Canning could surprise everyone with a breakout season, the odds seem stacked against him given his track record.
Hindsight is always 20/20, but this decision underscores the importance of balancing potential with reliability in roster construction. For a franchise with lofty expectations and an impatient fan base, every move is scrutinized. The Mets’ brass will need to hope that Canning exceeds expectations or risk facing even louder criticism if Wacha thrives in 2024.
Conclusion
While Griffin Canning offers upside, Michael Wacha presented a safer and more logical choice for the Mets. His proven track record and ability to deliver in high-pressure situations make him a better fit for a team looking to contend. As the 2024 season unfolds, the Mets’ decision-making process will be put to the test. If Canning falters and Wacha shines, it will serve as a reminder that sometimes, the safest bet is the smartest one.
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